Joe Biden’s poll collapse continues with the latest CIVIQS poll showing the man who we were told got 81 million votes for president just over a year-and-a-half ago now mired in the low thirties in overall approval with just 21 percent of independents approving Biden’s performance in office. Biden’s disapproval at 56 percent ties his worst approval set earlier this year in January and February.
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Biden is underwater in 48 states–with only Hawaii giving him an approval over 50 percent (52) and Vermont 46 percent approval. Ten states give Biden approval in the high teens or at or below 24 percent–Watergate like numbers when President Nixon resigned in August 1974 with 24 percent approval in the Gallup Poll. Eleven more states in the CIVIQS poll have Biden’s approval between 25 and 29 percent. 21 states give Biden approval in the 30s. Only Seven states give Biden approval in the low-to-mid 40s.
Biden’s approval by age shows younger voters approve the least: 18- 34: 25 percent; 35-49: 32 percent; 50-64: 36 percent; 65 and over: 41 percent.
By education: Non-college grad: 32 percent; College grad: 35 percent; Post-grad: 40 percent.
By sex: Men: 29 percent; Women: 38 percent.
Party: Republican: 2 percent (Kinzinger and Cheney?); Democrats: 71 percent; Independents: 21 percent.
Race/ethnicity: White: 26 percent; Black: 62 percent; Hispanic: 44 percent; Other: 38 percent.
Biden started his time in the White House with an approval rating just below 50 percent in the CIVIQS poll and above water on his disapproval. Biden went underwater just several months in, starting May 2021 and accelerating with the Afghanistan debacle in August. Biden’s approval in the CIVIQS poll has stayed in the 30s since late September last year.
This weekend the New York Times ran a much talked about article with this headline and subhead (excerpt):
Should Biden Run in 2024? Democratic Whispers of ‘No’ Start to Rise.
In interviews, dozens of frustrated Democratic officials, members of Congress and voters expressed doubts about the president’s ability to rescue his reeling party and take the fight to Republicans.
Midway through the 2022 primary season, many Democratic lawmakers and party officials are venting their frustrations with President Biden’s struggle to advance the bulk of his agenda, doubting his ability to rescue the party from a predicted midterm trouncing and increasingly viewing him as an anchor that should be cut loose in 2024.
As the challenges facing the nation mount and fatigued base voters show low enthusiasm, Democrats in union meetings, the back rooms of Capitol Hill and party gatherings from coast to coast are quietly worrying about Mr. Biden’s leadership, his age and his capability to take the fight to former President Donald J. Trump a second time.
Interviews with nearly 50 Democratic officials, from county leaders to members of Congress, as well as with disappointed voters who backed Mr. Biden in 2020, reveal a party alarmed about Republicans’ rising strength and extraordinarily pessimistic about an immediate path forward.
“To say our country was on the right track would flagrantly depart from reality,” said Steve Simeonidis, a Democratic National Committee member from Miami. Mr. Biden, he said, “should announce his intent not to seek re-election in ’24 right after the midterms.”
Biden is seen as such a drag on Democrats that, for example, Rep. Val Demings (D-FL), who was on Biden’s short list for vice president in 2020, now acts like she barely knows the man as she takes on Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) in this fall’s Senate election in Florida. (Excerpt via Politico):
On paper, Rep. Val Demings should be the ideal Democratic candidate to challenge GOP Sen. Marco Rubio.
Demings served as Orlando police chief before winning a congressional seat in 2016, was short-listed to serve as President Joe Biden’s running mate, has outpaced Rubio in campaign donations and is regularly greeted enthusiastically by voters on the trail. She routinely notes her upbringing — a “Black girl who grew up poor in the South” and was the daughter of a janitor and a maid.
But she’s been forced to campaign while Biden’s numbers have sunk in Florida, his administration has pushed policies that have alienated South Florida voters vital to her campaign and the electoral landscape in the state now favors Republicans.
“This is my race. And this race is between Marco Rubio and me,” Demings said in an interview. “I know Marco wants me to focus on the president’s approval ratings. I can control what I’m doing. I can’t control the president’s approval ratings.”
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